Saturday 10 March 2012

The Great Indian FDI saga


IN THE MAKING
Indian economy is subjected to changes, not according to planning commission and Pranab Mukherji, but according to the tax payers, says one unknown NDA political leader passed 4th standard. Even though his claim doesn’t make any sense, he got what he wanted i.e., publicity.
It has said to be a dramatic stunt for overshadowing revolutionary lokpal bill but in fact it has been a long time since Rahul Gandhi found excited about FDI in retail, most probably after having done shopping with his girl friend{including ex}at walmart!! It would have been tough for him to find GUCCI for her in Amethi, that’s why he tickled Pranab Mukherji to launch FDI but it indeed tickled many in many ways. Sharad Pawar found himself having more than required number of tablets for controlling his blood pressure, Prakash Karat couldn’t resist editing his election campaign materials and L.K Advani found busy with his eco-friendly Rath Yatras!!!!!

RULING PARTY, FDI AND ME                        
The first point which Rahul Gandhi put forward before explaining the FDI concept was about the unbelievable growth of China after approving 100% percent FDI and the tremendous uplift of Thailand economy. He did mention about the developing scenario of Indonesia too. Excitement overwhelmed and all top B-School students kept busy doing case study on this. Every day it was FDI in media. As usual I and my mediocre thoughts lost in front of all these. It took a while for someone from  Govt. to explain the FDI in retail concept. I found myself seating in front of T.V sets searching for some boring FDI debate and ended up listening to Pranab Mukherji’s claims about FDI.
It was indeed lack of huge investments in the retail sector which would have seen a gainful employment opportunities in agro-processing, sorting, marketing, logistics management etc. paved way for slow growth of economy.
According to Govt., Policy mandates a minimum investment of $100 million with at least half the amount to be invested in back-end infrastructure, including cold chains, refrigeration, transportation, packing and processing. This is expected to considerably reduce post-harvest losses.
Foreign retail majors will ensure supply chain efficiencies, hence having a positive impact on food inflation.
A strong legal framework in the form of the Competition Commission is available to deal with any anti-competitive practices, including predatory pricing ensuring ‘all is well’.
The main advantage of FDI in retail is that the brokers/middleman concept will be erased. At the end of the day farmers and end users will be benefited. Experience of the last decade shows small retailers have flourished in harmony with large outlets. Hence at least 10 million jobs will be created in the next three years in the retail sector.

OPPOSITION, FDI AND ME
Even if something good happens from the ruling party side, it’s a habit of opposition party to oppose it at all the possible ways even by calling it as utter nuisance. It was Prakash Karat, the comrade, who opposed FDI straight away even before officially announced by Govt.  He said, move will lead to large-scale job losses. International experience shows supermarkets invariably displace small retailers. Small retail has virtually been wiped out in developed countries like the US and in Europe.
The party which always calls for the development of the country[only during elections],BJP, claimed that  fragmented markets give larger options to consumers. Consolidated markets make the consumer captive. Allowing foreign players with deep pockets leads to consolidation. International retail does not create additional markets, it merely displaces existing markets.
Experts says that Jobs in the manufacturing sector will be lost because structured international retail makes purchases internationally and not from domestic sources. This has been the experience of most countries which have allowed FDI in retail.
A large group of economist says that International retail players have no role in building roads or generating power. They are only required to create storage facilities and cold chains. This could be done by governments in India.


MY TAKE
HATS OFF to Rahul Gandhi to his one man show, salute to Pranab for his ever diplomatic approach and still amused by the ever silent PM. Literally I am a fan of this so called controversial FDI in retail. If this comes to reality, there will be a huge growth in the economy. When Indian Govt. welcomed the concept of open economy, there were thousands of economist who opposed it. I cannot even  imagine the condition of Indian economy if it was not accepted. Also when the computerization came into India, there were major concerns about job losses. But now it has been a prime cause for the standard of living.
In India, 60% of the people are farmers. In developed countries, it’s 20%. Seriously who wanna be a farmer these days??
If anything, the entry of retail big boys is likely to hot up competition, giving consumers a better deal, both in prices and choices. Mega retail chains need to keep price points low and attractive - that's the USP of their business. This is done by smart procurement and inventory management: Good practices from which Indian retail can also learn. Time for big bazaar, More and Star bazaar to think out of box.
The fears about the small shopkeepers replaced by big retailers are baseless. Who will buy 1rupee matchbox from walmart??? Who will go to supermarkets to buy vegetables when it is available at nearest shop?? How many of us purchase goods for our one full month at a time?? Who wanna be in long queue holding 1kg rice in walmart because of 2rupee discount?? There will be competition among big retailers, but not with local shopkeepers.
Big retail chains are actually going to hire a lot of people. So, in the short run, there will be a spurt in jobs. Eventually, there's likely to be a redistribution of jobs with some drying up (like that of middlemen) and some new ones sprouting up.
In short, if govt. thinks it’s gonna be a developing factor, they have to welcome it!! Let the dogs bark, they will stop when they get tired!!!!